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From FastCompany.com
It's no secret how Wall Street looks at a stock; most investment banking analysts play some version of the same numbers game. They gin up models of a company's financial drivers, then plug in data based on what they know or can guess about revenue and spending. The spreadsheet spits out projections of future cash flows and profits, which imply a certain valuation.
The problem, of course, is that there's much more to corporate performance than what we can glean from traditional financial reporting. Any company creates impact across multiple realms. Its products and services can improve customers' health and welfare, or not. Its workplace practices have consequences for the wealth and well-being of employees. Its activities touch the community and the environment, for good and bad.
Over the long term, arguably, these nonfinancial dynamics shape a
company's performance as surely as any financing strategy or marketing
plan. They can be a source of risk, or of competitive advantage. But as
investors, most of us are still conditioned to accept a myopic view of
corporate purpose: A company's role is to generate financial returns,
period. Even if we didn't buy that, the social impact of businesses has
always been insanely difficult to measure. So rather than do all that
messy research, we've tended to look the other way.
But what if we agreed that short-term profitability doesn't
guarantee long-term investing success? And what if we could measure
those nonfinancial returns? Then the game changes in some pretty
profound ways.
More and more, investors are actually asking how companies treat
their workers, what levels of greenhouse gases they emit, which patents
they've filed for, and many other questions that can't easily be
answered by quarterly earnings reports. One indicator: In 1995, some 55
socially screened mutual funds had $12 billion in assets, according to
the Social Investment Forum. A decade later, such funds numbered more
than 200, with $179 billion in assets. It isn't only the Whole Foods
(NASDAQ:WFMI) crowd taking heed: More than 100 investment managers and
investors, representing $5 trillion in assets, have signed on to the
Principles for Responsible Investing, introduced by the United Nations
last year. "Environment, social, and governance issues are now
commanding dramatically more attention," Goldman Sachs chief U.S.
investment strategist Abby Joseph Cohen told attendees at a
sustainable-development conference last year.
That demand has fueled (and funded) the creation of a sort of shadow
research industry consumed with both pinpointing nonfinancial metrics
and linking those measures to financial performance. It's populated by
folks such as Swiss serial entrepreneur Peter Ohnemus, whose upstart
firm, Asset4 (backed in part by Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), offers
institutional investors more than 250 indicators that cover both
economic and so-called extra-financial characteristics of the nearly
1,500 companies it covers. Ohnemus's goal: "We want to be the Bloomberg
of extra-financial data."
He'll have competition. In 2004, European asset managers and pension
funds formed the Enhanced Analytics Initiative, agreeing to promote
nonfinancial measures by steering at least 5% of their broker
commissions to firms that incorporate environmental, social, and other
factors into their research. That's fueling demand for research on
nonfinancial performance, sustaining a small raft of specialty firms
such as Innovest Strategic Value Advisors, IW Financial, and KLD
Research & Analytics.
Fast Company has launched its own effort in this realm,
teaming with researchers R. Paul Herman of HIP Investor and Sara Olsen
of the Social Venture Technology Group to develop an exclusive approach
to measuring the human and social impact of businesses. Herman and
Olsen surveyed 21 leading public companies on sustainability processes,
metrics, and outcomes, combining the results with existing public data.
The result, what we call the HIP (that's Human Impact + Profit) Scorecard (see chart),
provides a tangible guide for investors trying to build nonfinancial
metrics into their stock-picking approach. We assessed companies'
progress in developing management practices focused on generating and
measuring impact on customers, employees, and the environment. And we
estimated the percentage of each company's revenue associated with
sustainable practices.
It's a potentially powerful approach--but one that also makes plain
how difficult this sort of analysis remains. It's pretty
straightforward, for example, to collect information on the breadth of
health benefits a company offers its employees. It's another thing,
though, to calculate the actual impact of those on employees'
health--and how that reflects back on the company's future financial
performance.
Even with a lot more resources dedicated to the task than a decade
ago, measuring and quantifying so-called environmental, social, and
corporate governance (ESG) factors is tricky. Sure, businesses have
begun to disclose more information, driven in part by investors
demanding more transparency. "There's a whole movement pushing
companies to standardize reporting on ESG and to integrate it within
their traditional reporting," says Jane Ambachtsheer, who heads Mercer
Investment Consulting's responsible-investment practice. But while a
handful of companies (like those we surveyed) are eager to share, most
haven't even begun to think about such issues. Beyond that, many
intangibles simply aren't very
tangible.
So how do you measure corporate conscience? The strategies have
grown more sophisticated since people started thinking about socially
responsible investing in the early 1970s. Back then, Pax World launched
the first socially responsible mutual fund in the United States--and
its approach centered on banning investments in so-called sin stocks,
those companies involved in alcohol, gambling, tobacco, and weapons.
Now Pax has begun incorporating data on climate change, sustainable
development, and human-rights concerns--criteria it says "were not
topical when the screens were first adopted."
Asset4's proprietary system tracks everything from patent filings to
carbon-dioxide emissions reports. Scoring companies on each of those
250 criteria, it then produces an integrated overall rating, from
A-plus to D-minus. It also lets users customize their ratings, keying
in on specific ESG criteria. "We slice and dice the data and serve it
up ready to be consumed," Ohnemus says. "Users can then do whatever
they want with it."
Innovest, by contrast, starts by analyzing sector-specific risks and
opportunities. Its analysts then gather data and interview corporate
executives about company-specific environmental, social, and other
issues. It weights the data differently, according to industry; carbon
emissions, say, are likely more important for an oil-refining company
than for a software outfit.
Both approaches rely mostly on corporate self-disclosures and what
companies choose to reveal about their human impact mostly isn't
subject to any broad standards. That's one hurdle to broader adoption
of such strategies. Another may be that investors aren't quite sure yet
what to do with the results. About 75% of institutional investors
believe that ESG issues can affect investment results, according to a
recent Mercer survey. Yet fewer than half of those institutions plan to
assess whether such factors are considered as part of their investment
process.
That finding signals the reality that still governs Wall Street: For
most investors, it's still all about the numbers--and mostly, it's
about the short term. Even contemplating the measurement of human
impact implies an investment horizon far longer than the average I-bank
analyst is trained to contemplate.
That will change. Ultimately, the evidence is just too powerful not
to be embraced by mainstream investors. A recent study by Accenture
determined that intangible assets account for about 70% of the value of
the S&P 500, up from 20% in 1980. That's one reason the world's six
largest accounting and auditing firms last November called for a
drastic overhaul of corporate reporting to better account for the
extra-financial drivers of corporate performance. In other words,
incorporating ESG factors into business processes and evaluations is
shifting from a moral imperative to a business one as well.
As that happens, the investing world could look more and more the
way it does at London-based Generation Investment Management, founded
in 2004 by David Blood, former head of Goldman Sachs Asset Management,
and former vice president Al Gore. There, human and social impact is
simply part of everyday investing. Every dollar under management is
subject to strict guidelines on sustainability and long-term success.
It will be five years, perhaps longer, before that approach is
broadly accepted in the United States. "Over time, more and more
managers will see the value of long-term research," says the firm's
U.S. president, Peter S. Knight. "To integrate the two disciplines, the
long-term research plus fundamental equity analysis, is hard to do. But
I think it will happen."
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